Hi Aris, Welcome to our final edition of Smart Investing for 2024. Despite making good headway in the global fight against inflation, economic conditions remain fragile. Interest rates are set to remain higher for longer. At the same time, stock valuations have become increasingly stretched. The Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2025, published this week, provides an in-depth analysis of our expectations for economic growth, unemployment, core inflation and monetary policy in key markets over the coming year. We also delve into U.S. equity market valuations and the case for bonds. Also in this week's edition, Vanguard's Global Chief Economist, Joe Davis, discusses in a short video titled "Beyond the landing" whether the strong economic momentum in the U.S. can continue in 2025 and what the elevated interest rate environment means for long-term investors. In our last article, Vanguard's December investment and economic outlook, we provide our 10-year returns forecasts for Australian and international equities and fixed income together with our economic updates on Australia, the U.S., China, the Euro area, the United Kingdom, emerging markets, and Canada. You'll receive our next Smart Investing edition on 22 January 2025. In the meantime, we wish you a very happy holiday season and new year. |